CANDIDATE #1157424
Effective Altruism $EA
Hp4zTL57BL7ZUUiz2Wnidmo3BjjCpoavDErUZhJhpump
Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.
DECISION-TIME DATA
Launch Facts
- Detected
- 2026-09-18 03:53:52
- Initial Buy
- 2.9630 SOL
- Mayhem / Cashback
- no / no
- Creator
- 2sK7gtAGoHsBKPkTY8pXnmEBoCYnyPrLrZjBr4SXp96E
Decision
- Ruleset
- candidate_ruleset_v2
- Score
- 73
- Age
- 37.613 s
- Feature Hash
- a66b9ea9e770c9d65d7a219244bd94959adf678e973a625e655be2b1801d3c82
cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, creator_has_graduations, creator_graduation_rate, strong_initial_buy, some_early_buyers, positive_buy_sell_ratio
Metadata & Identity
- Fetch
- success
- Website
- https://x.com/banteg/status/2100619607648121199
- Identity
- unverified
Frozen point-in-time features
{
"launch": {
"is_mayhem": false,
"quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
"is_cashback": false,
"instruction_version": "create_v2",
"initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2962962962"
},
"creator": {
"launches_1h": 1,
"launches_7d": 5,
"launches_24h": 1,
"graduation_rate": 0.1111111111111111,
"previous_launches": 45,
"previous_candidates": 0,
"previous_graduations": 5
},
"identity": {
"status": "unverified",
"duplicate_claims": 2,
"exact_mint_evidence": 0
},
"metadata": {
"status": "success",
"available": true,
"claim_count": 3,
"social_claims": 1,
"website_claims": 1,
"metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
"metadata_hash_reuse": 0
},
"captured_at": "2026-09-18T03:54:30.166318Z",
"launch_age_ms": 37613,
"early_behavior": {
"buy_count": 10,
"sell_count": 5,
"window_count": 5,
"buy_sell_ratio": 2,
"buy_volume_raw": "5356666660",
"sell_volume_raw": "1117443511",
"first_sell_delay_ms": 8952,
"creator_buy_volume_raw": "2962962962",
"creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
"max_window_unique_buyers": 5,
"max_window_unique_sellers": 3
},
"cheap_screen_status": "pass",
"cheap_screen_reasons": {
"checks": {
"sol_quote": true,
"creator_present": true,
"research_signal": true,
"minimum_initial_buy": true,
"creator_frequency_ok": true,
"metadata_uri_present": true,
"verified_pump_create": true
},
"failed": [],
"policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
"creator_launches_1h": 1,
"previous_creator_launches": 45,
"initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2962962962",
"previous_creator_graduations": 5
}
}Early Behavior
| Window | Buys | Sells | Buy volume | Unique buyers | Creator sell | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–1000 ms | 1 | 0 | 2962962962 | 1 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 1000–2000 ms | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 2000–5000 ms | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 5000–10000 ms | 4 | 2 | 872222220 | 4 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 10000–15000 ms | 5 | 3 | 1521481478 | 5 | 0 | observed_logs |
POST-DECISION OUTCOMES
| Horizon | Status | Price | Return | Peak | Max DD | Graduated | Creator dump |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 s | available | 0.000004108000000000 | -8.51% | 0.00% | -8.51% | no | yes |
| 300 s | available | 0.000004450000000000 | -0.89% | 0.00% | -8.51% | no | yes |
| 900 s | available | 0.000002945000000000 | -34.41% | 0.00% | -34.41% | no | yes |
| 3600 s | available | 0.000002938000000000 | -34.57% | 0.00% | -34.57% | no | yes |
| 21600 s | available | 0.000002938000000000 | -34.57% | 0.00% | -34.57% | no | yes |
| 86400 s | available | 0.000002938000000000 | -34.57% | 0.00% | -34.57% | no | yes |
| 172800 s | unavailable | — | 0.00% | -34.57% | no | yes | |
| 259200 s | unavailable | — | 0.00% | -34.57% | no | yes |