CANDIDATE #1399980

Lightning McCake $Mccake

H4Xf4FDXe6yPnT5yGsAZr67VoAtG8AXx5k3dN1Eh9MXk

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-09-27 01:40:55
Initial Buy: 2.0000 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / no
Creator: 2ciMfzCfFvn9DDzKNnLkq1SrLskuwu5jYq4B2YxpBMmG

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 65
Age: 16.688 s
Feature Hash: 7eca5a1a46e06df448b4872e08cfbfe6045d70584f7c94b6125461f81d9c4846

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, strong_buy_sell_ratio

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://usepaid.app/token/H4Xf4FDXe6yPnT5yGsAZr67VoAtG8AXx5k3dN1Eh9MXk
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": false,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2000000000"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 0,
        "launches_7d": 2,
        "launches_24h": 1,
        "graduation_rate": 0,
        "previous_launches": 18,
        "previous_candidates": 0,
        "previous_graduations": 0
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 1,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 3,
        "social_claims": 1,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-09-27T01:41:11.771272Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 16688,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 57,
        "sell_count": 15,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 3.8,
        "buy_volume_raw": "32990187475",
        "sell_volume_raw": "17120151890",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 7119,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "2000000000",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 42,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 13
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 0,
        "previous_creator_launches": 18,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2000000000",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 0
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	2000000000	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	12	1	6270656455	12	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	44	14	24719531020	42	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000010580000000000	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	no	no
300 s	available	0.000006059000000000	-42.73%	0.00%	-42.73%	no	no
900 s	available	0.000008948000000000	-15.43%	0.00%	-42.73%	no	no
3600 s	available	0.000009229000000000	-12.77%	0.00%	-42.73%	no	no
21600 s	available	0.000003990000000000	-62.29%	0.00%	-62.29%	no	no
86400 s	available	0.000003717000000000	-64.87%	0.00%	-64.87%	no	no
172800 s	available	0.000003723000000000	-64.81%	0.00%	-64.87%	no	no
259200 s	available	0.000003443000000000	-67.46%	0.00%	-67.46%	no	no