CANDIDATE #1542049

Tipsy Launchpad $TIPSY

GxdZqQtSDChqoVDeJ2YNV1uBc6iF4PXhyk21p34Qatip

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-10-01 11:00:05
Initial Buy: 2.9630 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / no
Creator: Hk6P9CRxnR8opeio1SpwuzBrWekp4eJyLy1SyXwTE7ow

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 71
Age: 16.590 s
Feature Hash: e633f569d16b1256d3682f07f8dcd4cce05acdec219ed5b381f66b0e29920254

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, no_duplicate_identity_claim, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://usetipsy.fun
Identity: crawl_incomplete

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": false,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2962962961"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 0,
        "launches_7d": 0,
        "launches_24h": 0,
        "graduation_rate": 0,
        "previous_launches": 0,
        "previous_candidates": 0,
        "previous_graduations": 0
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "crawl_incomplete",
        "duplicate_claims": 0,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 3,
        "social_claims": 2,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-10-01T11:00:22.020258Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 16590,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 38,
        "sell_count": 30,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 1.2666666666666666,
        "buy_volume_raw": "11409546906",
        "sell_volume_raw": "16716886322",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 1357,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "2962962961",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 17,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 7
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 0,
        "previous_creator_launches": 0,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2962962961",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 0
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	2962962961	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	7	2	1053535108	7	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	13	9	4999916285	13	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	17	13	2393132552	17	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	0	6	0	0	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000007044000000000	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	no	no
300 s	available	0.000011030000000000	56.59%	56.59%	-0.80%	no	no
900 s	available	0.000009419000000000	33.72%	56.59%	-14.61%	no	no
3600 s	available	0.000011880000000000	68.65%	68.65%	-14.61%	no	no
21600 s	available	0.000036340000000000	415.90%	415.90%	-14.61%	no	no
86400 s	available	0.000020190000000000	186.63%	415.90%	-44.44%	yes	no
172800 s	available	0.000003801000000000	-46.04%	415.90%	-89.54%	yes	no
259200 s	available	0.000003496000000000	-50.37%	415.90%	-90.38%	yes	no