CANDIDATE #1560736
pmarca.fun $pmarca
Ezv4SL2xyZ9eXAWuSY5j1rRStiuhaNHz9cjcMh4Rpump
Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.
DECISION-TIME DATA
Launch Facts
- Detected
- 2026-10-02 00:58:09
- Initial Buy
- 1.5000 SOL
- Mayhem / Cashback
- no / no
- Creator
- 9jj8btzZtiqYBrAvEhCAGDFqUb9ZtrAYE8aGBH82Yn1x
Decision
- Ruleset
- candidate_ruleset_v2
- Score
- 75
- Age
- 17.158 s
- Feature Hash
- 6b113e2dd4c120878753c08d57b801a835ba634b590cd2391ca8bf389e67e4e9
cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, creator_has_graduations, creator_graduation_rate, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, positive_buy_sell_ratio
Metadata & Identity
- Fetch
- success
- Website
- https://pmarca.fun/
- Identity
- weak_evidence
Frozen point-in-time features
{
"launch": {
"is_mayhem": false,
"quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
"is_cashback": false,
"instruction_version": "create_v2",
"initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "1500000000"
},
"creator": {
"launches_1h": 0,
"launches_7d": 0,
"launches_24h": 0,
"graduation_rate": 0.5,
"previous_launches": 2,
"previous_candidates": 0,
"previous_graduations": 1
},
"identity": {
"status": "weak_evidence",
"duplicate_claims": 1,
"exact_mint_evidence": 0
},
"metadata": {
"status": "success",
"available": true,
"claim_count": 3,
"social_claims": 1,
"website_claims": 1,
"metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
"metadata_hash_reuse": 0
},
"captured_at": "2026-10-02T00:58:26.442224Z",
"launch_age_ms": 17158,
"early_behavior": {
"buy_count": 16,
"sell_count": 9,
"window_count": 5,
"buy_sell_ratio": 1.7777777777777777,
"buy_volume_raw": "6577878942",
"sell_volume_raw": "5019573967",
"first_sell_delay_ms": 13838,
"creator_buy_volume_raw": "1500000000",
"creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
"max_window_unique_buyers": 13,
"max_window_unique_sellers": 9
},
"cheap_screen_status": "pass",
"cheap_screen_reasons": {
"checks": {
"sol_quote": true,
"creator_present": true,
"research_signal": true,
"minimum_initial_buy": true,
"creator_frequency_ok": true,
"metadata_uri_present": true,
"verified_pump_create": true
},
"failed": [],
"policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
"creator_launches_1h": 0,
"previous_creator_launches": 2,
"initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "1500000000",
"previous_creator_graduations": 1
}
}Early Behavior
| Window | Buys | Sells | Buy volume | Unique buyers | Creator sell | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–1000 ms | 1 | 0 | 1500000000 | 1 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 1000–2000 ms | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 2000–5000 ms | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 5000–10000 ms | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 10000–15000 ms | 15 | 9 | 5077878942 | 13 | 0 | observed_logs |
POST-DECISION OUTCOMES
| Horizon | Status | Price | Return | Peak | Max DD | Graduated | Creator dump |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 s | available | 0.000007037000000000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | no | yes |
| 300 s | available | 0.000005290000000000 | -24.83% | 8.40% | -30.65% | no | yes |
| 900 s | available | 0.000003640000000000 | -48.27% | 8.40% | -52.28% | no | yes |
| 3600 s | available | 0.000003334000000000 | -52.62% | 8.40% | -56.29% | no | yes |
| 21600 s | available | 0.000003341000000000 | -52.52% | 8.40% | -56.29% | no | yes |
| 86400 s | available | 0.000003355000000000 | -52.32% | 8.40% | -56.29% | no | yes |
| 172800 s | unavailable | — | 8.40% | -56.29% | no | yes | |
| 259200 s | unavailable | — | 8.40% | -56.29% | no | yes |