CANDIDATE #161909

Just can't prove it $Cattective

AY76BgMTVJSMYqdihPng7Aaz5wT4fRjgMZwKGAQ1pump

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-19 01:19:27
Initial Buy: 20.0000 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / yes
Creator: 4euyaqBe45J5dniAcNARERUo7B1wG96riG21sEpNndfU

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 74
Age: 17.568 s
Feature Hash: 6aca4bd41614a9f600a456c4f79fb4c37d9ad7ce331532c87459ea25ab771ee1

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, creator_has_graduations, creator_graduation_rate, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, cashback

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://www.instagram.com/p/DcL6vFPMzAs/
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": true,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "20000000000"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 0,
        "launches_7d": 5,
        "launches_24h": 0,
        "graduation_rate": 0.4,
        "previous_launches": 5,
        "previous_candidates": 0,
        "previous_graduations": 2
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 1,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 3,
        "social_claims": 1,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-08-19T01:19:44.863992Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 17568,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 16,
        "sell_count": 16,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 1,
        "buy_volume_raw": "30398065992",
        "sell_volume_raw": "10107737211",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 9903,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "20000000000",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 10,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 15
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 0,
        "previous_creator_launches": 5,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "20000000000",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 2
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	20000000000	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	3	1	1330864195	3	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	12	15	9067201797	10	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000007639000000000	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	no	no
300 s	available	0.000025800000000000	237.74%	237.74%	0.00%	no	no
900 s	available	0.000013800000000000	80.65%	237.74%	-46.51%	no	no
3600 s	available	0.000004250000000000	-44.36%	237.74%	-83.53%	no	no
21600 s	available	0.000005672000000000	-25.75%	237.74%	-83.53%	no	no
86400 s	available	0.000006745000000000	-11.70%	237.74%	-83.53%	no	no
172800 s	available	0.000003015000000000	-60.53%	237.74%	-88.31%	no	no
259200 s	available	0.000002898000000000	-62.06%	237.74%	-88.77%	no	no