CANDIDATE #177308

HOPEeVOLVINGs $HOPEE

Bqkb3ZHkvE4wVqrCXSxiRgwojRhf1DXTdDyxuagUpump

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-19 09:40:02
Initial Buy: 2.0003 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / no
Creator: FW4cF2UmD8PEYSeSH2nH3UnJ7UTVzZXJMxJ5saPvtqmk

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 78
Age: 17.026 s
Feature Hash: 7a68ae3fc9edd3c2ad5c9b8e5ba35594b660a93a005b0a9ab48a61211fddae46

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, creator_has_graduations, creator_graduation_rate, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, strong_buy_sell_ratio

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://x.com/4arzincrypto/status/2090010779588100226?s=46&t=PK8-r64fPqdTlHNXTrKCGQ
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": false,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2000312547"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 3,
        "launches_7d": 9,
        "launches_24h": 7,
        "graduation_rate": 0.2222222222222222,
        "previous_launches": 9,
        "previous_candidates": 0,
        "previous_graduations": 2
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 1,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 2,
        "social_claims": 0,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-08-19T09:40:19.856022Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 17026,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 23,
        "sell_count": 4,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 5.75,
        "buy_volume_raw": "3557429238",
        "sell_volume_raw": "1452354153",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 1951,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "2000312547",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 15,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 2
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 3,
        "previous_creator_launches": 9,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2000312547",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 2
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	2000312547	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	5	1	682098760	5	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	16	0	826129043	15	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	1	2	48888888	1	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	0	1	0	0	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000002633000000000	-2.30%	0.00%	-2.30%	no	yes
300 s	available	0.000002398000000000	-11.02%	0.00%	-11.02%	no	yes
900 s	available	0.000002324000000000	-13.77%	0.00%	-13.77%	no	yes
3600 s	available	0.000002364000000000	-12.28%	0.00%	-13.77%	no	yes
21600 s	available	0.000002453000000000	-8.98%	0.00%	-13.77%	no	yes
86400 s	available	0.000002453000000000	-8.98%	0.00%	-13.77%	no	yes
172800 s	unavailable		—	0.00%	-13.77%	no	yes
259200 s	available	0.000002627000000000	-2.52%	0.00%	-13.77%	no	yes