CANDIDATE #181714

Moderna Inc. $MRNA

HcCRM9G4DWLvH8EiLoiC7JtfBpyVMH4UeZPJou55b8MS

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-19 12:39:15
Initial Buy: 0.7156 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / no
Creator: 2fKF69VT6xs4bCRjEP4djip7MuoFHL1JMyrQmzprbtri

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 80
Age: 16.764 s
Feature Hash: 1fb2fbe617ef7c5a01cbfd4a1362b1e7af25242fa04790ae807a0f4d0895bbfd

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, creator_has_graduations, creator_graduation_rate, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, positive_buy_sell_ratio

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://memestonk.xyz/token/HcCRM9G4DWLvH8EiLoiC7JtfBpyVMH4UeZPJou55b8MS
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": false,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "715648855"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 2,
        "launches_7d": 22,
        "launches_24h": 20,
        "graduation_rate": 0.2272727272727273,
        "previous_launches": 22,
        "previous_candidates": 1,
        "previous_graduations": 5
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 2,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 3,
        "social_claims": 1,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-08-19T12:39:32.507185Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 16764,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 21,
        "sell_count": 13,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 1.6153846153846154,
        "buy_volume_raw": "23310186407",
        "sell_volume_raw": "9977982177",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 11925,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "0",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 18,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 12
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 2,
        "previous_creator_launches": 22,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "715648855",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 5
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	715648855	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	20	13	22594537552	18	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000010160000000000	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	yes	no
300 s	available	0.000008886000000000	-12.54%	0.00%	-12.54%	yes	no
900 s	available	0.000004202000000000	-58.64%	0.00%	-58.64%	yes	no
3600 s	available	0.000019850000000000	95.37%	95.37%	-58.64%	yes	no
21600 s	available	0.000028360000000000	179.13%	179.13%	-58.64%	yes	no
86400 s	available	0.000045710000000000	349.90%	349.90%	-58.64%	yes	no
172800 s	available	0.000010000000000000	-1.57%	349.90%	-78.12%	yes	no
259200 s	available	0.000010180000000000	0.20%	349.90%	-78.12%	yes	no