CANDIDATE #302874
cicada cat $catada
86EbyLgp87zZBk4xgYaPRjgNGEDfitRD7jaZPan3pump
Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.
DECISION-TIME DATA
Launch Facts
- Detected
- 2026-08-22 13:37:45
- Initial Buy
- 3.1111 SOL
- Mayhem / Cashback
- no / yes
- Creator
- 4devFPRkWUTknomCHr1uMbfJLn111nKB3GDjH811JP4L
Decision
- Ruleset
- candidate_ruleset_v2
- Score
- 66
- Age
- 16.380 s
- Feature Hash
- 2a33d3d20523a26ceb8f55148065b740af2bc2ecbcadb539e12cf09764957e4e
cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, creator_has_graduations, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, positive_buy_sell_ratio, cashback
Metadata & Identity
- Fetch
- success
- Website
- https://x.com/xCirce7/status/2090876991977259064
- Identity
- unverified
Frozen point-in-time features
{
"launch": {
"is_mayhem": false,
"quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
"is_cashback": true,
"instruction_version": "create_v2",
"initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "3111111110"
},
"creator": {
"launches_1h": 2,
"launches_7d": 29,
"launches_24h": 5,
"graduation_rate": 0.02564102564102564,
"previous_launches": 39,
"previous_candidates": 1,
"previous_graduations": 1
},
"identity": {
"status": "unverified",
"duplicate_claims": 2,
"exact_mint_evidence": 0
},
"metadata": {
"status": "success",
"available": true,
"claim_count": 3,
"social_claims": 1,
"website_claims": 1,
"metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
"metadata_hash_reuse": 0
},
"captured_at": "2026-08-22T13:38:02.277365Z",
"launch_age_ms": 16380,
"early_behavior": {
"buy_count": 22,
"sell_count": 8,
"window_count": 5,
"buy_sell_ratio": 2.75,
"buy_volume_raw": "13545818313",
"sell_volume_raw": "6541173458",
"first_sell_delay_ms": 1011,
"creator_buy_volume_raw": "3111111110",
"creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
"max_window_unique_buyers": 10,
"max_window_unique_sellers": 5
},
"cheap_screen_status": "pass",
"cheap_screen_reasons": {
"checks": {
"sol_quote": true,
"creator_present": true,
"research_signal": true,
"minimum_initial_buy": true,
"creator_frequency_ok": true,
"metadata_uri_present": true,
"verified_pump_create": true
},
"failed": [],
"policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
"creator_launches_1h": 2,
"previous_creator_launches": 39,
"initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "3111111110",
"previous_creator_graduations": 1
}
}Early Behavior
| Window | Buys | Sells | Buy volume | Unique buyers | Creator sell | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–1000 ms | 1 | 0 | 3111111110 | 1 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 1000–2000 ms | 1 | 2 | 213538331 | 1 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 2000–5000 ms | 7 | 0 | 2095043519 | 7 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 5000–10000 ms | 10 | 1 | 7484238106 | 10 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 10000–15000 ms | 3 | 5 | 641887247 | 3 | 0 | observed_logs |
POST-DECISION OUTCOMES
| Horizon | Status | Price | Return | Peak | Max DD | Graduated | Creator dump |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 s | available | 0.000004028000000000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | no | no |
| 300 s | available | 0.000003612000000000 | -10.33% | 17.03% | -23.38% | no | no |
| 900 s | available | 0.000005131000000000 | 27.38% | 27.38% | -23.38% | no | no |
| 3600 s | available | 0.000003282000000000 | -18.52% | 27.38% | -36.04% | no | no |
| 21600 s | available | 0.000003293000000000 | -18.25% | 27.38% | -36.04% | no | no |
| 86400 s | available | 0.000002985000000000 | -25.89% | 27.38% | -41.82% | no | no |
| 172800 s | available | 0.000002650000000000 | -34.21% | 27.38% | -48.35% | no | no |
| 259200 s | unavailable | — | 27.38% | -48.35% | no | no |