CANDIDATE #304806

牛来 $牛来

toS1dKRPxoEtSMmVHLajWL9w4Qw58QtogHdwnrNpump

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-22 15:11:30
Initial Buy: 0.9877 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / yes
Creator: ESrFr99WeuYGmV1iiZg1pxVCtLgoc7qwtP2sKJ7uAXJX

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 67
Age: 16.654 s
Feature Hash: 66c190207605d441a6c66cf8a7158ff5aad1f955ef89299791fa219de2153ab4

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, strong_buy_sell_ratio, cashback

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://x.com/xzq99999?s=11
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": true,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "987654320"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 0,
        "launches_7d": 0,
        "launches_24h": 0,
        "graduation_rate": 0,
        "previous_launches": 0,
        "previous_candidates": 0,
        "previous_graduations": 0
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 1,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 4,
        "social_claims": 1,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-08-22T15:11:47.080553Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 16654,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 13,
        "sell_count": 4,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 3.25,
        "buy_volume_raw": "10099030157",
        "sell_volume_raw": "842496573",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 3124,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "987654320",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 9,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 3
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 0,
        "previous_creator_launches": 0,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "987654320",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 0
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	987654320	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	1	1	50000000	1	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	9	3	8187136798	9	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	2	0	874239039	2	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000004810000000000	68.18%	68.18%	0.00%	no	no
300 s	available	0.000004314000000000	50.84%	68.18%	-10.31%	no	no
900 s	available	0.000004311000000000	50.73%	68.18%	-10.37%	no	no
3600 s	available	0.000005200000000000	81.82%	81.82%	-10.37%	no	no
21600 s	available	0.000003161000000000	10.52%	81.82%	-39.21%	no	no
86400 s	available	0.000003018000000000	5.52%	81.82%	-41.96%	no	no
172800 s	available	0.000002711000000000	-5.21%	81.82%	-47.87%	no	yes
259200 s	unavailable		—	81.82%	-47.87%	no	yes