CANDIDATE #316746

juan $JUAN

6M6ZbPHx7Duf8gGdZMMobhXFUdLwGhKxZihxANh7Juan

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-22 22:24:51
Initial Buy: 0.4239 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / no
Creator: 27F5V6KwEcUzTor7XhdS2PpCXy3iPUKw3Cret1YkKqt1

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 76
Age: 15.925 s
Feature Hash: 441d093732d2b3f167ea51960f03ffd88bf5d9abfb2aca8e8dfdd316812abfd2

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, no_duplicate_identity_claim, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, positive_buy_sell_ratio

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://www.juanonthebalcony.com
Identity: crawl_incomplete

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": false,
        "instruction_version": "create",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "423940150"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 0,
        "launches_7d": 0,
        "launches_24h": 0,
        "graduation_rate": 0,
        "previous_launches": 0,
        "previous_candidates": 0,
        "previous_graduations": 0
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "crawl_incomplete",
        "duplicate_claims": 0,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 2,
        "social_claims": 1,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-08-22T22:25:07.083710Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 15925,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 103,
        "sell_count": 51,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 2.019607843137255,
        "buy_volume_raw": "48371203892",
        "sell_volume_raw": "30916007668",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 1769,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "423940150",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 35,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 33
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 0,
        "previous_creator_launches": 0,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "423940150",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 0
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	423940150	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	21	2	16699038635	20	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	23	5	14248667559	22	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	37	11	13327144253	35	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	21	33	3672413295	14	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000005803000000000	-36.18%	0.00%	-36.18%	no	yes
300 s	available	0.000008036000000000	-11.62%	0.00%	-36.18%	no	yes
900 s	available	0.000004709000000000	-48.21%	0.00%	-48.21%	no	yes
3600 s	available	0.000005728000000000	-37.01%	0.00%	-48.21%	no	yes
21600 s	available	0.000019560000000000	115.11%	115.11%	-48.21%	no	yes
86400 s	available	0.000015160000000000	66.72%	115.11%	-48.21%	yes	yes
172800 s	available	0.000015580000000000	71.34%	115.11%	-48.21%	yes	yes
259200 s	available	0.000017300000000000	90.26%	115.11%	-48.21%	yes	yes