CANDIDATE #42686

Rubio Realizing $Realizing

7Jv2f1SgqvsdXRUiFzMTkRDyEtcMF3AggM6EeEaGpump

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-15 13:21:33
Initial Buy: 1.0000 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / no
Creator: yHCxHBEaJW5tbndqC8JciSThr7U1cqLpdcsvHcx6PRe

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 70
Age: 17.021 s
Feature Hash: 80e3c86b407cd384d08f36d43995918b7657c03bc12446396a70bee58f3cecde

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, social_claimed, no_duplicate_identity_claim, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, positive_buy_sell_ratio

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: not claimed
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": false,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "1000000000"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 0,
        "launches_7d": 0,
        "launches_24h": 0,
        "graduation_rate": 0,
        "previous_launches": 0,
        "previous_candidates": 0,
        "previous_graduations": 0
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 0,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 2,
        "social_claims": 1,
        "website_claims": 0,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-08-15T13:21:50.737994Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 17021,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 106,
        "sell_count": 53,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 2,
        "buy_volume_raw": "45880502744",
        "sell_volume_raw": "46098630018",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 1318,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "1000000000",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 41,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 13
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 0,
        "previous_creator_launches": 0,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "1000000000",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 0
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	3	0	2709876543	3	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	0	4	0	0	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	20	16	7594067201	20	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	41	14	25851633844	41	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	42	19	9724925156	40	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000009351000000000	4.22%	4.22%	0.00%	no	yes
300 s	available	0.000007686000000000	-14.33%	4.22%	-17.81%	no	yes
900 s	available	0.000004517000000000	-49.65%	4.22%	-51.70%	no	yes
3600 s	available	0.000003072000000000	-65.76%	4.22%	-67.15%	no	yes
21600 s	available	0.000002658000000000	-70.37%	4.22%	-71.58%	no	yes
86400 s	available	0.000003135000000000	-65.06%	4.22%	-71.58%	no	yes
172800 s	available	0.000002939000000000	-67.24%	4.22%	-71.58%	no	yes
259200 s	available	0.000003114000000000	-65.29%	4.22%	-71.58%	no	yes