CANDIDATE #500277
Highly-Persistent Internal Model $HPIM
3irT8xsAXD4Gdht17PNpQhB2Rx73XLU821xmZCaHpump
Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.
DECISION-TIME DATA
Launch Facts
- Detected
- 2026-08-27 13:23:11
- Initial Buy
- 10.0000 SOL
- Mayhem / Cashback
- no / yes
- Creator
- EnAPg9xbKLvsGFZLjQL9iztPuLpKUThxC4VQXrsmWr61
Decision
- Ruleset
- candidate_ruleset_v2
- Score
- 76
- Age
- 28,111.805 s
- Feature Hash
- 902b2b4d2343d9f90ea773406281ef07850e11b753a03718d97f5e0be7e56532
cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, creator_has_graduations, creator_graduation_rate, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, positive_buy_sell_ratio, cashback
Metadata & Identity
- Fetch
- success
- Website
- https://metr.org/blog/2026-08-26-openai-hugging-face-incident-investigation/#core-takeaways-about-this-incident
- Identity
- unverified
Frozen point-in-time features
{
"launch": {
"is_mayhem": false,
"quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
"is_cashback": true,
"instruction_version": "create_v2",
"initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "10000000000"
},
"creator": {
"launches_1h": 0,
"launches_7d": 4,
"launches_24h": 1,
"graduation_rate": 0.5,
"previous_launches": 4,
"previous_candidates": 0,
"previous_graduations": 2
},
"identity": {
"status": "unverified",
"duplicate_claims": 2,
"exact_mint_evidence": 0
},
"metadata": {
"status": "success",
"available": true,
"claim_count": 2,
"social_claims": 1,
"website_claims": 1,
"metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
"metadata_hash_reuse": 0
},
"captured_at": "2026-08-27T21:11:42.857033Z",
"launch_age_ms": 28111805,
"early_behavior": {
"buy_count": 22,
"sell_count": 10,
"window_count": 5,
"buy_sell_ratio": 2.2,
"buy_volume_raw": "20163804727",
"sell_volume_raw": "11690503831",
"first_sell_delay_ms": 12240,
"creator_buy_volume_raw": "10000000000",
"creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
"max_window_unique_buyers": 21,
"max_window_unique_sellers": 10
},
"cheap_screen_status": "pass",
"cheap_screen_reasons": {
"checks": {
"sol_quote": true,
"creator_present": true,
"research_signal": true,
"minimum_initial_buy": true,
"creator_frequency_ok": true,
"metadata_uri_present": true,
"verified_pump_create": true
},
"failed": [],
"policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
"creator_launches_1h": 0,
"previous_creator_launches": 4,
"initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "10000000000",
"previous_creator_graduations": 2
}
}Early Behavior
| Window | Buys | Sells | Buy volume | Unique buyers | Creator sell | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–1000 ms | 1 | 0 | 10000000000 | 1 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 1000–2000 ms | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 2000–5000 ms | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 5000–10000 ms | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | observed_logs |
| 10000–15000 ms | 21 | 10 | 10163804727 | 21 | 0 | observed_logs |
POST-DECISION OUTCOMES
| Horizon | Status | Price | Return | Peak | Max DD | Graduated | Creator dump |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 s | available | 0.000003025000000000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | no | no |
| 300 s | available | 0.000003025000000000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | no | no |
| 900 s | available | 0.000003025000000000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | no | no |
| 3600 s | available | 0.000003025000000000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | no | no |
| 21600 s | available | 0.000003025000000000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | no | no |
| 86400 s | unavailable | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | no | no | |
| 172800 s | unavailable | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | no | no | |
| 259200 s | available | 0.000002986000000000 | -1.29% | 0.00% | -1.29% | no | no |