CANDIDATE #560374

Bear On Board $AIKA

4ot5dCsDmXdPG9vXmQzqRNMhwG6xvorQMtoQaKnwpump

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-28 17:58:44
Initial Buy: 3.0000 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / yes
Creator: MQBqWQWNfv5SWqXbUmKw6zyyvj3XQcHXNvmkcps13z5

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 80
Age: 52,186.966 s
Feature Hash: e15599371019dc35ad72a57901767447eaaf7ab263f3d833ae886a6b8f627922

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, no_duplicate_identity_claim, creator_has_graduations, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, cashback

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_rN54ZVjppQ
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": true,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "3000000000"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 1,
        "launches_7d": 31,
        "launches_24h": 7,
        "graduation_rate": 0.06521739130434782,
        "previous_launches": 46,
        "previous_candidates": 2,
        "previous_graduations": 3
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 0,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 2,
        "social_claims": 0,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-08-29T08:28:31.871896Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 52186966,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 12,
        "sell_count": 13,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 0.9230769230769232,
        "buy_volume_raw": "10225081598",
        "sell_volume_raw": "12179667049",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 4631,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "3000000000",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 10,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 7
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 1,
        "previous_creator_launches": 46,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "3000000000",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 3
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	3000000000	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	10	7	7221493390	10	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	1	6	3588208	1	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	unavailable	—	—	—	no	no
300 s	unavailable	—	—	—	no	no
900 s	unavailable	—	—	—	no	no
3600 s	unavailable	—	—	—	no	no
21600 s	unavailable	—	—	—	no	no
86400 s	unavailable	—	—	—	no	no
172800 s	unavailable	—	—	—	no	no
259200 s	unavailable	—	—	—	no	no