CANDIDATE #684058

watchparty $watchparty

B3W66wc93NbyQJ3jTeCjMs4LgiN5FwQ84W78JNpWpump

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-31 22:05:00
Initial Buy: 2.7654 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / no
Creator: 4epSUTE4fWjHBL9wAkaKkUWZExhAhh2Ka28d3tMtpRaF

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 70
Age: 64,231.677 s
Feature Hash: a878f00d34d6dbbab77e9492f42431b7649a021e144a7821bdda9c5e3f9d067a

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, creator_has_graduations, creator_graduation_rate, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://watchparty.xyz
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": false,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2765432097"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 0,
        "launches_7d": 1,
        "launches_24h": 0,
        "graduation_rate": 1,
        "previous_launches": 1,
        "previous_candidates": 0,
        "previous_graduations": 1
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 1,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 5,
        "social_claims": 2,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-09-01T15:55:32.241567Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 64231677,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 15,
        "sell_count": 12,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 1.25,
        "buy_volume_raw": "7967250502",
        "sell_volume_raw": "6774914674",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 9094,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "2765432097",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 9,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 8
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 0,
        "previous_creator_launches": 1,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "2765432097",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 1
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	2765432097	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	5	2	3082868541	5	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	9	10	2118949864	9	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000009238000000000	5.75%	5.75%	0.00%	no	no
300 s	available	0.000009238000000000	5.75%	5.75%	0.00%	no	no
900 s	available	0.000009139000000000	4.61%	5.75%	-1.07%	no	no
3600 s	available	0.000009139000000000	4.61%	5.75%	-1.07%	no	no
21600 s	available	0.000008603000000000	-1.52%	5.75%	-6.87%	no	no
86400 s	available	0.000009821000000000	12.42%	12.42%	-6.87%	no	no
172800 s	available	0.000004329000000000	-50.45%	12.42%	-55.92%	no	no
259200 s	available	0.000004329000000000	-50.45%	12.42%	-55.92%	no	no