CANDIDATE #87204

Minecraft Fruit Fly $FLY-000

AM84wetbNE63kbeZE4HYKqKcgesoquFz4khYv5Bqpump

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-16 22:51:55
Initial Buy: 5.0000 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / yes
Creator: AmNMqM5VbPwtG14gLBdtrqZpQrhSzavLkQPufS8CQ7LB

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 78
Age: 16.899 s
Feature Hash: b51ea73c9a9b2e4000b6c7c249934b00512bc1e2bb746a9b8b8f3643dff7fb00

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, website_claimed, social_claimed, no_duplicate_identity_claim, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, positive_buy_sell_ratio, cashback

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: https://www.instagram.com/reel/DcGoh_Bsd_i/
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": true,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "5000000000"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 0,
        "launches_7d": 1,
        "launches_24h": 0,
        "graduation_rate": 0,
        "previous_launches": 1,
        "previous_candidates": 0,
        "previous_graduations": 0
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 0,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 3,
        "social_claims": 1,
        "website_claims": 1,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-08-16T22:52:11.913107Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 16899,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 10,
        "sell_count": 5,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 2,
        "buy_volume_raw": "9217679006",
        "sell_volume_raw": "2114406858",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 12776,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "5000000000",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 9,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 4
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 0,
        "previous_creator_launches": 1,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "5000000000",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 0
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	5000000000	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	9	5	4217679006	9	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000004993000000000	-2.42%	0.00%	-2.42%	no	no
300 s	available	0.000008334000000000	62.87%	88.10%	-13.41%	no	no
900 s	available	0.000015200000000000	197.05%	197.05%	-13.41%	yes	no
3600 s	available	0.000002995000000000	-41.47%	197.05%	-80.30%	yes	no
21600 s	available	0.000003578000000000	-30.08%	197.05%	-80.30%	yes	no
86400 s	available	0.000003590000000000	-29.84%	197.05%	-80.30%	yes	no
172800 s	available	0.000001979000000000	-61.32%	197.05%	-86.98%	yes	no
259200 s	available	0.000001956000000000	-61.77%	197.05%	-87.13%	yes	no