CANDIDATE #92299

Ball Bag $BallBag

J2TSwTJ1xsTmh5LariJCCKuiJDtEUgFTv8dY76Mnpump

Research boundary: Creator-supplied metadata is an unverified claim. Candidate status is not a trade or execution signal.

DECISION-TIME DATA

Launch Facts

Detected: 2026-08-17 02:09:44
Initial Buy: 1.0002 SOL
Mayhem / Cashback: no / yes
Creator: 4wHsVqkwErJvMqnKKFEefP6mHZKxbwiFrXT8DjnyjYEo

Decision

Ruleset: candidate_ruleset_v2
Score: 72
Age: 16.454 s
Feature Hash: 627dea77177b72b834a5cf9cdd84c08ca4073a2c662483cbd1c3083ee157d366

cheap_screen_passed, metadata_fetched, creator_has_graduations, creator_graduation_rate, strong_initial_buy, early_buyer_count, strong_buy_sell_ratio, cashback

Metadata & Identity

Fetch: success
Website: not claimed
Identity: unverified

Frozen point-in-time features

{
    "launch": {
        "is_mayhem": false,
        "quote_mint": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "is_cashback": true,
        "instruction_version": "create_v2",
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "1000156273"
    },
    "creator": {
        "launches_1h": 2,
        "launches_7d": 7,
        "launches_24h": 4,
        "graduation_rate": 0.14285714285714285,
        "previous_launches": 7,
        "previous_candidates": 3,
        "previous_graduations": 1
    },
    "identity": {
        "status": "unverified",
        "duplicate_claims": 1,
        "exact_mint_evidence": 0
    },
    "metadata": {
        "status": "success",
        "available": true,
        "claim_count": 1,
        "social_claims": 0,
        "website_claims": 0,
        "metadata_uri_reuse": 0,
        "metadata_hash_reuse": 0
    },
    "captured_at": "2026-08-17T02:10:01.263414Z",
    "launch_age_ms": 16454,
    "early_behavior": {
        "buy_count": 33,
        "sell_count": 9,
        "window_count": 5,
        "buy_sell_ratio": 3.6666666666666665,
        "buy_volume_raw": "15990859716",
        "sell_volume_raw": "5996530048",
        "first_sell_delay_ms": 2708,
        "creator_buy_volume_raw": "1000156273",
        "creator_sell_volume_raw": "0",
        "max_window_unique_buyers": 14,
        "max_window_unique_sellers": 3
    },
    "cheap_screen_status": "pass",
    "cheap_screen_reasons": {
        "checks": {
            "sol_quote": true,
            "creator_present": true,
            "research_signal": true,
            "minimum_initial_buy": true,
            "creator_frequency_ok": true,
            "metadata_uri_present": true,
            "verified_pump_create": true
        },
        "failed": [],
        "policy": "cheap_screen_v1",
        "creator_launches_1h": 2,
        "previous_creator_launches": 7,
        "initial_buy_quote_amount_raw": "1000156273",
        "previous_creator_graduations": 1
    }
}

Early Behavior

Window	Buys	Sells	Buy volume	Unique buyers	Quality
0–1000 ms	1	0	1000156273	1	observed_logs
1000–2000 ms	0	0	0	0	observed_logs
2000–5000 ms	14	1	5265292384	14	observed_logs
5000–10000 ms	13	5	4831332498	11	observed_logs
10000–15000 ms	5	3	4894078561	5	observed_logs

POST-DECISION OUTCOMES

Horizon	Status	Price	Return	Peak	Max DD	Graduated	Creator dump
60 s	available	0.000005454000000000	13.04%	13.04%	0.00%	no	no
300 s	available	0.000005467000000000	13.31%	80.19%	-37.12%	no	no
900 s	available	0.000002147000000000	-55.50%	80.19%	-75.30%	no	yes
3600 s	available	0.000002115000000000	-56.17%	80.19%	-75.67%	no	yes
21600 s	available	0.000002127000000000	-55.92%	80.19%	-75.67%	no	yes
86400 s	available	0.000002131000000000	-55.83%	80.19%	-75.67%	no	yes
172800 s	available	0.000002160000000000	-55.23%	80.19%	-75.67%	no	yes
259200 s	available	0.000002389000000000	-50.49%	80.19%	-75.67%	no	yes